Publications
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Complex Deterrence: Strategy in the Global Age
Complex Deterrence: Strategy in the Global Age
360 pages,
ISBN: 9780226650029
The University of Chicago Press
This comprehensive book offers an agenda for the contemporary practice of deterrence—especially as it applies to nuclear weapons—in an increasingly heterogeneous global and political setting. Moving beyond the precepts of traditional deterrence theory, this volume offers insights for the use of deterrence in the modern world, where policy makers may encounter irrational actors, failed states, religious zeal, ambiguous power relationships, and other situations where the traditional rules of statecraft do not apply. A distinguished group of contributors here examines issues such as deterrence among the Great Powers; the problems of regional and nonstate actors; and actors armed with chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons. Complex Deterrence will be a valuable resource for anyone facing the considerable challenge.
Chapters: 1.Complex Deterrence: An Introduction, T. V. Paul; 2. Three Items in One: Deterrence as Concept, Research Program, and Political Issue Jeffrey W. Knopf; 3. Rational Deterrence against “Irrational” Adversaries? No Common Knowledge, Janice Stein; 4. Complex Deterrence in the Asymmetric-Warfare Era, Emanuel Adler; 5. Deterring Nuclear Terrorists, S. Paul Kapur; 6. Deterrence, Rogue States, and the
"The use of deterrence to prevent war did not go away at the end of the Cold War; it just became more complex. This valuable book provides new insights from psychology, political science, and history to illuminate the difficulties of using deterrence against terrorists, new states with nuclear weapons, and great powers in an age of globalization."-Scott D. Sagan,
"Deterrence and compellence are widely used strategies in the post-Cold War world, and this is the most sophisticated attempt by far to determine who embraces these strategies, in what circumstances and to what effect. The essays draw on traditional and recent developments in deterrence theory and are sensitive to empirical and psychological critiques. Policymakers and scholars alike have much to learn from this thoughtful volume."-Richard Ned Lebow, James O. Freedman Presidential Professor of Government,
To Order go to: http://www.press.uchicago.edu/presssite/metadata.epl?mode=synopsis&bookkey=1248750
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The Tradition of Non-Use of Nuclear Weapons
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The Tradition of Non-Use of Nuclear Weapons
ISBN-10: 0804761310
ISBN-13: 9780804761314
Cloth $75.00
About The Book:
Since the Hiroshima and Nagasaki attacks, no state has unleashed nuclear weapons. What explains this? According to the author, the answer lies in a prohibition inherent in the tradition of non-use, a time-honored obligation that has been adhered to by all nuclear states—thanks to a consensus view that use would have a catastrophic impact on humankind, the environment, and the reputation of the user.
The book offers an in-depth analysis of the nuclear policies of the U.S., Russia, China, the UK, France, India, Israel, and Pakistan and assesses the contributions of these states to the rise and persistence of the tradition of nuclear non-use. It examines the influence of the tradition on the behavior of nuclear and non-nuclear states in crises and wars, and explores the tradition's implications for nuclear non-proliferation regimes, deterrence theory, and policy. And it concludes by discussing the future of the tradition in the current global security environment.
Review:
"This is one of the best books on nuclear policy since George and Smoke's classic, Deterrence in American Foreign Policy. It is a major and original contribution to our theoretical understanding and our empirical knowledge of nuclear weapons." —John A. Vasquez, Thomas B. Mackie Scholar in International Relations, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
"An impressive and nuanced assessment, at once wide-ranging and focused." —John Mueller, Professor of political science at Ohio State University and author of the forthcoming Atomic Obsession
"The most astonishing event of the twentieth century did not occur: no nuclear weapons used in warfare since the two on Japan in august, 1945. Here is the first thorough history of the evolution of that powerful, completely unpredicted, tradition, with analysis of how to maintain and strengthen it." —Thomas Schelling, Nobel Laureate in Economics and Distinguished University Professor, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland.
To buy this book http://www.sup.org/book.cgi?id=16942
The Tradition of Non-Use of Nuclear Weapons
"An impressive and nuanced assessment, at once wide-ranging and focused." —John Mueller, Professor of political science at Ohio State University and author of the forthcoming Atomic Obsession
"The most astonishing event of the twentieth century did not occur: no nuclear weapons used in warfare since the two on Japan in august, 1945. Here is the first thorough history of the evolution of that powerful, completely unpredicted, tradition, with analysis of how to maintain and strengthen it." —Thomas Schelling, Nobel Laureate in Economics and Distinguished University Professor, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland.
To buy this book http://www.sup.org/book.cgi?id=16942
Nuclear Weapons and Conflict Transformation: The Case of India-Pakistan

Nuclear Weapons and Conflict Transformation: The Case of India-Pakistan
This new volume explores what the acquisition of nuclear weapons means for the life of a protracted conflict.
The book argues that the significance of the possession of nuclear weapons in conflict resolution has been previously overlooked. Saira Khan argues that the acquisition of nuclear weapons by states keeps conflicts alive indefinitely, as they are maintained by frequent crises and low-to-medium intensity violence, rather than escalating to full-scale wars. This theory therefore emphasises the importance of nuclear weapons in both war-avoidance and peace-avoidance. The book opens with a section explaining its theory of conflict transformation with nuclear weapons, before testing this against the case study of the India--Pakistan protracted conflict in South Asia.
This book will be of much interest to students of strategic studies, IR and Asian politics and security.
Nuclear Proliferation in South Asia: Crisis Behaviour and the Bomb
Nuclear Proliferation in South Asia: Crisis Behaviour and the Bomb
This edited volume explores competing perspectives on the impact of nuclear weapons proliferation on the South Asian security environment.
The spread of nuclear weapons is one of the world’s foremost security concerns. The effect of nuclear weapons on the behaviour of newly nuclear states, and the potential for future international crises, are of particular concern. As a region of burgeoning economic and political importance, South Asia offers a crucial test of proliferation’s effects on the crisis behaviour of newly nuclear states. This volume creates a dialogue between scholars who believe that nuclear weapons have stabilized the subcontinent, and those who believe that nuclear weapons have made South Asia more conflict prone. It does so by pairing competing analyses of four major regional crises: the 1987 "Brasstacks" crisis, the Indo-Pakistani crisis of 1990, the 1999 Kargil war, which occurred after the nuclear tests; and the 2001–2 Indo-Pakistani militarized standoff. In addition, the volume explores the implications of the South Asian nuclear experience for potential new nuclear states such as North Korea and Iran.
Table of Contents
1. Introduction Sumit Ganguly and S. Paul Kapur 2. A Dangerous Exercise: Brasstacks as Non-Nuclear Near War Varun Sahni 3. Brasstacks: Prudently Pessimistic John H. Gill 4. Nuclear Optimism and the 1990 India-Pakistan Crisis Manjeet S. Pardesi 5. Crisis and Opportunity: The 1990 Nuclear Crisis in South Asia Karthika Sasikumar 6. The Kargil War: An Optimistic Assessment Devin T. Hagerty 7. The Kargil War and Nuclear Deterrence Neil Joeck 8. A War to End a War: The Causes and Outcomes of the 2001–2 India-Pakistan Crisis Praveen Swami 9. To War or Not to War: The India-Pakistan Crisis of 2001–2 Kanti Bajpai 10. North Korea’s Nuclearization and the Fallout from the Subcontinent Andrew Scobell and Michael R. Chambers 11. The Implications of a Nuclear-Armed Iran in Light of South Asia’s Nuclear Experience Devin T. Hagerty.
Sumit Ganguly is a professor of political science, holds the Rabindranath Tagore Chair in Indian Cultures and Civilizations, and is director of research of the Center on American and Global Security at Indiana University, Bloomington. He is the author, co-author, editor or co-editor of 15 books on South Asia. S. Paul Kapur is associate professor in the Department of Strategic Research, U.S. Naval War College, and visiting professor at Stanford University’s Center for International Security and Cooperation.
South Asia's Cold War: Nuclear Weapons and Conflict in Comparative Perspective
South Asia's Cold War: Nuclear Weapons and Conflict in Comparative Perspective
This book is a ground-breaking analysis of the India-Pakistan nuclear confrontation as a form of ‘cold war’ – that is, a hostile relationship between nuclear rivals.
Drawing on nuclear rivalries between similar pairs (United States-Soviet Union, United States-China, Soviet Union-China, and United States-North Korea), the work examines the rise, process and potential end of the cold war between India and Pakistan. It identifies the three factors driving the India-Pakistan rivalry: ideational factors stemming from partition; oppositional roles created by the distribution of power in South Asia; and the particular kind of relationship created by nuclear weapons. The volume assesses why India and Pakistan continue in non-crisis times to think about power and military force in outmoded ways embedded in pre-nuclear times, and draws lessons applicable to them as well as to other contemporary nuclear powers and states that might be engaged in future cold wars.
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ISBN: 978-0-415-39194-8
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Binding: Hardback
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Published by: Routledge
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Publication Date: 04/25/2008
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Pages: 184
The Long Shadow: Nuclear Weapons and Security in 21st Century Asia
The Long Shadow: Nuclear Weapons and Security in 21st Century Asia
Publisher: Stanford: Stanford University Press
Publication Date: 2008
ISBN: 978-0-8047-6087-4
Binding: paper
Pages: 592
Available from: Stanford University Press
The Long Shadow is the first comprehensive, systematic examination of the roles and implications of nuclear weapons in the dramatically different post-Cold War security environment. Leading experts investigate the roles and salience of nuclear weapons in the national security strategies of twelve countries and the ASEAN states, and their implications for security and stability in a broadly defined Asian security region that involves the Middle East. The study also investigates the prospects for nuclear terrorism in Asia.
A chief conclusion of the study is that nuclear weapons influence national security strategies in fundamental ways and that deterrence continues to be the dominant role and strategy for the employment of nuclear weapons. Offensive and defensive strategies may increase in salience but will not surpass the deterrence function. Another major conclusion is that although there could be destabilizing situations, on balance, nuclear weapons have reinforced security and stability in the Asian security region by assuaging national security concerns, strengthening deterrence and the status quo, and preventing the outbreak and escalation of major hostilities.
As nuclear weapons will persist and cast a long shadow on security in Asia and the world, it is important to reexamine and redefine "old" ideas, concepts, and strategies as well as develop "new" ones relevant to the contemporary era. In line with this, the global nuclear order should be constructed anew based on present realities.
Review
"I know of no other book about nuclear weapons and international security produced since the end of the Cold War that has the breadth of The Long Shadow. It combines a reconsideration of key strategic concepts and policies with a remarkably comprehensive survey of countries from the Middle East through East Asia whose nuclear status, aspirations, or potential will shape the Asian security order in the twenty-first century."
--Avery Goldstein, Professor and Chair,
Political Science Department, University of Pennsylvania
"An important book in understanding the roles and implications of nuclear weapons in a new strategic era. A remarkable panel of authors presents a penetrating, clearly written analysis and prognosis of nuclear weapons in the national security strategies of twelve nations in the broadly defined Asian region that includes the Middle East with key historical and comparative insights offered by the editor. Every reader will find a wealth of history and interpretation that is available for the first time."
--Thomas Schelling, 2005 Nobel Prize Laureate in Economics
and Distinguished University Professor, University of Maryland
"Like Alagappa's earlier volumes, this book is a major contribution to understanding Asian security. There is nothing like it in scope or quality on the subject of nuclear weapons in Asia. Virtually every country in Asia is analyzed from a common perspective. The editor's analytical chapters are original and provocative."
--Patrick Morgan, Tierney Chair,
Peace & Conflict, University of California, Irvine
"A well-rounded, comprehensive analysis of the roles and implications of nuclear weapons in the Asian security region. In light of the growing importance of Asian security issues, this book will be a valuable resource."
--Charles Glaser, Professor and Deputy Dean,
The Harris School of Public Policy, University of Chicago
Contents
Part I: Historical, Strategic, and Conceptual Perspectives
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Asia's Security Environment: From Subordinate to Region Dominant System
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Exploring Roles, Strategies, and Implications: Historical and Conceptual Perspectives
Part II: National Nuclear Policies and Strategies
The Nuclear Weapon States -
United States: Nuclear Policy at a Crossroads
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Russia: "New" Inconsistent Nuclear Thinking and Policy
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China: Dynamic Minimum Deterrence
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India: The Logic of Assured Retaliation
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Pakistan: The Tragic Dilemma of Nuclear Deterrence
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Israel: A Sui Generis Proliferator
Aspirant States and Nonstate Actors -
North Korea: Existential Deterrence and Diplomatic Leverage
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Iran: The Nuclear Quandry
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Nuclear Terrorism: Prospects in Asia
Allies of Nuclear Weapon States -
Japan: New Nuclear Realism
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South Korea: Fears of Abandonment and Entrapment
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Taiwan: Conventional Deterrence, Soft Power, and the Nuclear Option
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Australia: Back to the Future?
Southeast Asia
ASEAN: The Road Not Taken
Part III: Conclusion
Nuclear Weapons and National Security: Far-Reaching Influence and Deterrence Dominance -
Reinforcing National Security and Regional Stability: The Implications of Nuclear Weapons and Strategi
Power versus Prudence : Why Nations Forgo Nuclear Weapons
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Power versus Prudence : Why Nations Forgo Nuclear Weapons
An examination of the reasons technologically capable or near capable states have forgone the option of building deliverable nuclear weapons
With the end of the Cold War, nuclear non-proliferation has emerged as a central issue in international security relations. While most existing works on nuclear proliferation deal with the question of nuclear acquisition, T.V. Paul explains why some states have decided to forswear nuclear weapons even when they have the technological capability or potential capability to develop them, and why some states already in possession of nuclear arms choose to dismantle them.
In Power versus Prudence Paul develops a prudential-realist model, arguing that a nation's national nuclear choices depend on specific regional security contexts: the non-great power states most likely to forgo nuclear weapons are those in zones of low and moderate conflict, while nations likely to acquire such capability tend to be in zones of high conflict and engaged in protracted conflicts and enduring rivalries. He demonstrates that the choice to forbear acquiring nuclear weapons is also a function of the extent of security interdependence that states experience with other states, both allies and adversaries. He applies the comparative case study method to pairs of states with similar characteristics - Germany/Japan, Canada/Australia, Sweden/Switzerland, Argentina/Brazil - in addition to analysing the nuclear choices of South Africa, Ukraine, South Korea, India, Pakistan, and Israel. Paul concludes by questioning some of the prevailing supply side approaches to non-proliferation, offering an explication of the security variable by linking nuclear proliferation with protracted conflicts and enduring rivalries.
Power versus Prudence will be of interest to students of international relations, policy-makers, policy analysts, and the informed public concerned with the questions of nuclear weapons, non-proliferation, and disarmament.
Review quotes
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"Power versus Prudence makes a valuable and timely contribution to the debates surrounding nuclear proliferation and arms control. The work is cogent, original, and theoretically sound. Paul succeeds brilliantly at proving his initial hypotheses." Albert Legault, Institut Québecois des hautes études internationales, Université Laval
"A significant contribution to the field. The author makes a convincing case. This is a refreshing approach to an issue that has been previously explored by scholars but not in this manner. Paul argues his point persuasively." David Haglund, Centre for International Relations, Queen's University, and author of Security, Strategy and the Global Economics of Defence Production "An able, nuanced, and richly informed analysis of a much underconsidered puzzle: why, despite decades of predictions to the contrary, have so few countries chosen to acquire nuclear weapons?" John Mueller, professor of political science at Ohio State University, and author of Retreat from Doomsday: The Obsolescence of Major War, and Quiet Cataclysm: Reflections on the Recent Transformation of World Politics. |
Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons
Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons
Pakistan is a vitally important country in the contemporary global political system. It is a de facto nuclear state, and a pivotal country in the War on Terror. This book provides a comprehensive study of a nuclear-armed Pakistan, investigating the implications of its emergence as a nuclear weapons state.
Setting out the historical background of Pakistani nuclear development, the book examines the lessons for proliferation that can be drawn from the Pakistan case. It explains the changes and continuities of Pakistan’s nuclear policy, assessing its emerging force posture and the implications for Pakistani, South Asian and global security. It also considers the extent to which Pakistan can be said to have a nuclear doctrine, the Pakistani nuclear command and control system, and the relationship between Pakistan and the Non-Proliferation regime. Addressing the issue of whether Pakistan should be viewed as a proliferator, and the implications of a nuclear Pakistan for global terrorism, Pakistan’s Nuclear Weapons is an important study of all the major issues surrounding Pakistan’s emergence as a nuclear power.
Bhumitra Chakma lectures in War and Security Studies in the Department of Politics and International Studies at the University of Hull. He specialises in South Asian and global nuclear politics and ethnicity and nationalism studies. He is the author of Strategic Dynamics and Nuclear Weapons Proliferation in South Asia (2004), and has published widely in international journals, such as Modern Asian Studies, Asian Security, Asian Survey, Identity, Culture and Politics: an afro-asian dialogue etc.
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ISBN: 978-0-415-40871-4
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Binding: Hardback
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Published by: Routledge
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Publication Date: 13th August 2008
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Pages: 190
The Absolute Weapon Revisited: Nuclear Arms and the Emerging International Order

The Absolute Weapon Revisited: Nuclear Arms and the Emerging International Order
About the Book
Soon after nuclear weapons devastated the Japanese cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Bernard Brodie and several colleagues wrote The Absolute Weapon, which predicted that the atomic bomb would revolutionize international politics. In The Absolute Weapon Revisited, a group of noted scholars explores the contemporary role of nuclear weapons in the world after the end of the Cold War. Although superpower rivalry has faded, the complexities of living with nuclear weapons remain.
Working from different theoretical perspectives, the contributors offer a set of provocative assessments of nuclear deterrence and the risks of nuclear proliferation and disarmament. Some argue that assured destruction capabilities remain important, while others argue that nuclear deterrence will be increasingly irrelevant. Arms control, crisis stability, and continuity and change in nuclear doctrine as well as new issues such as virtual nuclear states and information warfare, are some of the issues addressed by the contributors to The Absolute Weapon Revisited. The contributors are Zachary Davis, Colin S. Gray, Richard J. Harknett, Ashok Kapur, Robert Manning, William C. Martel, Eric Mlyn, John Mueller, J. V. Paul, George Quester, and James J. Wirtz.
This book will be of interest to scholars, policymakers and students interested in issues of nuclear strategy and deterrence, arms control, nonproliferation and disarmament, international security and peace studies.
T. V. Paul is Associate Professor of Political Science, McGill University, and the author of AsymmetricConflicts: War Initiation by Weaker Powers.
James J. Wirtz is Associate Professor of Security Affairs, Naval Postgraduate School, and the author of The Tet Offensive: Intelligence Failure at War.
Richard Harknett is Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of Cincinnati, and the author of numerous articles on security affairs.
Minimum Deterrence and India’s Nuclear Security
Minimum Deterrence and India’s Nuclear Security
In this book, a leading authority on India’s nuclear program offers an informed and thoughtful assessment of India’s nuclear strategy. He shows that the country’s nuclear-strategic culture is generally in accord with the principle of minimum deterrence, but is sometimes inconsistent and has a tendency to drift into a more open-ended process. He addresses areas of concern, notably the relationship between minimum deterrence and subnuclear conflict, the threat from nuclear terrorism, and the special challenges nuclear weapons pose for a democratic society.
About the author
Rajesh M. Basrur is Director of the Centre for Global Studies in Mumbai, India. He has been a visiting fellow at Sandia National Laboratories, the Brookings Institution, and the Henry L. Stimson Center.
Year 2006
264 pp.
1 table.
ISBN-10: 0804752567
ISBN-13: 9780804752565
Perception, Politics and Security in South Asia: The Compound Crisis of 1990
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Perception, Politics and Security in South Asia: The Compound Crisis of 1990
This book provides a detailed examination of the compound crisis between India and Pakistan that brought the region to the brink of a nuclear war in 1990. Placing the crisis in the context of concurrent international events such as the fall of the Soviet Union, the authors draw out the lesson for present-day South Asian affairs. The book also makes a significant contribution to the debates on the role of nuclear weapons, confidence and security building strategies and the place of ethnicity in contemporary international relations.
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ISBN: 978-0-415-40603-1
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Binding: Paperback (also available in Hardback)
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Published by: Routledge
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Publication Date: 18th April 2006
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Pages: 184
Security and South Asia: Ideas, Institutions and Initiatives
Security and South Asia: Ideas, Institutions and Initiatives
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ISBN: 978-0-415-40106-7
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Binding: Hardback
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Published by: Routledge India
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Publication Date: 3rd August 2006
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Pages: 256
About the Book
Stephen Philip Cohen can rightly be called the doyen of South Asian security analysis, especially traditional security concerns in the region and advocacy on US foreign policy.
The contributors to the volume have all, at different at different points in time, been Cohen’s students, and are now well-known scholars in their own right. Broadly dividing Cohen’s work into categories, the contributors deal with the following issues:
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how security is understood and how important strategic relationships are framed
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approaches to and choices made in the areas of military structure, arms production, and investment in science and technology
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how and why civil society groups are mobilized towards political ends—specifically looking at ethnic mobilization in diaspora communities, non-official initiatives for peace in South Asia, and the role of state and non-state actors in disaster management
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the role of the army.
The essays reflect a view of security as something people choose to make for themselves through an exercise of agency that is rooted in the realm of ideas.
Table of Contents
Introduction Swarna Rajagopalan 1. Stephen Philip Cohen, the Teacher Shonali Sardesai 2. Stephen Cohen: Academic, Advisor, and Institution Builder Amit Gupta 3. Steve Cohen’s Contribution to American Policy-making Sumit Ganguly 4. Securing Rama’s World Swarna Rajagopalan 5. Indian Strategic Culture and the Problem of Pakistan Kanti Bajpai 6. The Indian Army and the Problem of Military Change Sunil Dasgupta 7. Same as it Ever Was? India’s Arms Production Efforts Amit Gupta 8. Ideas and Technology Policy Dinshaw Mistry 9. Diaspora Populations, the Internet and Ethnopolitical Mobilisation Kavita Khory 10. Citizens’ Initiatives in South Asia: Lessons from the Indo-Pak Conflict Chetan Kumar 11. Disasters in India: Patterns of Institutional Response C V Raghavulu.

